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AGI Makes Intelligence Cheap. It Makes Trust Priceless.

Notes on what a general intelligence does to a research program built on trust without trusted parties. Abstract. Artificial general intelligence does not retire the oldest question of institutional economics: how self-interested actors produce reliable judgment when no one can check the work. It universalizes it. The essay argues that AGI’s effect on any research […]

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AI Evolution Is Mechanism Design

Why the trajectory of artificial intelligence is an institutional choice, not a natural fact. The public debate over artificial intelligence proceeds as if AI evolution were weather. Laboratories publish capability curves the way meteorologists publish storm tracks. Policymakers ask when the storm makes landfall. Commentators debate whether it can be slowed, paused, or survived. The […]

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Nadella’s Loop Is a Labor Market. The Economics It’s Missing Is Decisive

Satya Nadella is right that the firm of the future must own its learning loop. But the loop he specifies is, in the terms of my own work, a reputation-weighted neoclassical labor market – not the generative architecture this moment actually requires. We agree on the destination. We diverge on the economics. On June 14, […]

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The AI Layoff Trap Is a Trap for Economists, Not for the Economy

Why Falk & Tsoukalas Built a Perfect Model of a World That No Longer Exists Wulf A. Kaal A paper is circulating virally this month. “The AI Layoff Trap,” by Falk and Tsoukalas (Wharton School and Boston University, March 2026), claims to offer mathematical proof that AI will inevitably destroy the economy. The conclusion is […]

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The Banana Problem: Why Autonomous Agents Cannot Learn Without Reputation

In 1992, Steve Jobs walked into a room of MIT MBA students and asked how many were going into consulting. Hands went up. He told them their careers would be “like a picture of a banana.” You might get an accurate picture. But you never really taste it.Thirty-four years later, that lecture is the clearest […]

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Updates

It’s been a productive stretch. Since my last substantive research roundup, I’ve published more than a dozen new papers, crossed the 121-paper milestone, and built something I’ve been wanting to create for years: a machine-readable, interactive knowledge graph that maps the connections across my entire body of work. This post covers three things: the new […]

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The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory

🚨 New paper drop: “The AI-to-AI Economy and the Collapse of Anthropocentric Economic Theory” by Wulf A. Kaal. AI agents negotiating, producing, and reinvesting value in fully autonomous loops—independent of human labor or consumption—are shattering core economic assumptions: scarcity dissolves, bounded rationality vanishes, transaction costs hit zero. Welcome to the Coasean Singularity and Agentic Decoupling. […]

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Liquid Equity Rewards: Enhancing Shareholder Loyalty Amid Rising Activism

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5583610#:~:text=LER’s%20contributions%20include%20the%20potential,capital%20shift%20to%20risk%20assets. By Dr. Wulf A. KaalAssociate Professor of Law, University of St. Thomas School of Law Shareholders have evolved from passive investors into active participants, often driving transformative agendas through activism. Proxy contests, in which investors seek to influence or seize board control, have proliferated, imposing substantial financial burdens on companies—estimated in the billions—and contributing […]

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